Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable
- Author: Taleb, Nassim Nich
- ISBN: 9780141034591
- Availability: Not in stock: we’ll order it in
$NZ 34.99 Ex Tax: $NZ 34.99
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.